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Thursday, August 10, 2006

IDF Progress in Lebanon?

According to this article in USA Today :

The seizure of the southern town of Marjayoun and nearby areas overnight appeared to be an attempt to consolidate bases in southern Lebanon before any
possible push northward. It gives Israel an important foothold for any deeper drives into the country.

Marjayoun a mostly Christian city about five miles from the Israeli border was used as the command center for the Israeli army and its allied Lebanese militia during an 18-year occupation of southern Lebanon that ended in 2000. The high ground around Marjayoun, including the village of Blatt, overlook the Litani River valley, one of the staging sites for the relentless Hezbollah rocket assault on northern Israel.

(snip)

Taking command of Marjayoun was not considered a key battlefield victory since the city gives little support to Hezbollah. But reaching the site required passing through Hezbollah country, the scene of fierce fighting.

Progress? I'm not sure. I wrote yesterday about the new Israel strategy of rushing to the Litani and then working backwards. This seems like they want to set up twstrongholdts. One on the Litani (north) and one foothold on this village (south). (I've heard rumors that the IDF may also go past the Litani and perhaps into Beirut itself. That would be a horrible idea.

The accomplishment is not too much to be proud of. One, nostrategicallyll important. It did not house Hezbollah fighters (it was Christianan town).

But this is not the 40,000 strong invasion yet, they just seem to blayingng the groundwork for a base in the south.

Hezbollah claims it has destroyed 11 tanks (probably inflated) but this should become the norm. IEDs seem a logical choice to counter. They will be focusing in speeding through roads and not engaging so it seems logical for a guerilla force to counter with IEDs to damage the armor and troop columns andrasticallyly slow down the advance, thus allowing more time and opportunities for hit and ruharassingng missions.

Israel seems serious about this invasion though, they are in it to win it it seems. They will not destroy Hezbollah but who knows if they can squeeze out a 'victory' with this show of force and feel as if they saved enough face to finally withdraw when a diplomatic solution is reached.

This is all guessing territory though; I'm smack dab talking about a situation in which I could just as likely be wrong. It wouldn't surprise me.

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